Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.105484 0.114289 0.123692 0.134513 0.146665 0.159939 0.175603
2024-10-06 0.092831 0.105270 0.119416 0.136837 0.157910 0.182834 0.214930
2024-10-13 0.081381 0.095090 0.111349 0.132325 0.159071 0.192605 0.238775
2024-10-20 0.073005 0.087238 0.104666 0.127974 0.158960 0.199700 0.259028
2024-10-27 0.066726 0.081202 0.099396 0.124471 0.159011 0.206335 0.278795
2024-11-03 0.064929 0.080572 0.100792 0.129591 0.170863 0.230135 0.326376
2024-11-10 0.063829 0.080665 0.103012 0.135859 0.184789 0.258443 0.385498
2024-11-17 0.060923 0.078067 0.101291 0.136271 0.189996 0.273993 0.426345
2024-11-24 0.057616 0.074671 0.098163 0.134273 0.191182 0.283098 0.457319
2024-12-01 0.054409 0.071204 0.094674 0.131396 0.190597 0.289039 0.483289
2024-12-08 0.051137 0.067457 0.090535 0.127179 0.187389 0.290010 0.499672
2024-12-15 0.048962 0.065163 0.088376 0.125850 0.188767 0.299091 0.533867
2024-12-22 0.046974 0.063167 0.086731 0.125521 0.192352 0.313651 0.585185
2024-12-29 0.045657 0.062104 0.086454 0.127429 0.200136 0.337496 0.664137
2025-01-05 0.043020 0.058924 0.082717 0.123301 0.196640 0.338733 0.690065
2025-01-12 0.040640 0.056015 0.079239 0.119341 0.193047 0.339257 0.714446
2025-01-19 0.038618 0.053558 0.076336 0.116154 0.190580 0.341777 0.744861
2025-01-26 0.038420 0.053890 0.077890 0.120811 0.203623 0.379706 0.885783
2025-02-02 0.038415 0.054514 0.079939 0.126503 0.219417 0.426997 1.076354
2025-02-09 0.037380 0.053447 0.079119 0.126877 0.224338 0.449526 1.197334
2025-02-16 0.036012 0.051784 0.077207 0.125064 0.224421 0.460066 1.280736
2025-02-23 0.034589 0.049973 0.074954 0.122451 0.222508 0.465191 1.346385
2025-03-02 0.033037 0.047896 0.072155 0.118618 0.217558 0.461581 1.376176